Coronavirus: WHO warns against ‘blanket measures’ over outbreak, says ‘every scenario on the table’

 

February 18, 2020

 


Executive Director of WHO’s Health Emergencies programme Michael Ryan (left) and Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus (right) during a press conference at WHO’s headquarters in Geneva, on Feb 17, 2020. PHOTO: EPA-EFE/KEYSTONE

 

GENEVA (AFP, REUTERS) – The World Health Organisation (WHO) on Monday (Feb 17) warned against “blanket measures” over the novel coronavirus outbreak, pointing out the epidemic outside of China was only affecting a “tiny” proportion of the population.

WHO also said that – with a mortality rate of around 2 per cent – Covid-19 was “less deadly” than other coronaviruses such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (Sars) or Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (Mers).

WHO officials rejected the suggestion that all cruises should be halted to avoid risking a new nest of infection like the one on the coronavirus-hit Diamond Princess off Japan.

“Measures should be taken proportional to the situation. Blanket measures may not help,” WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told reporters in Geneva.

The latest data provided by China on people infected with coronavirus indicates a decline in new cases but “every scenario is still on the table” in terms of the epidemic’s evolution, he added.

Tedros said that a published Chinese paper on more than 44,000 confirmed cases provided insight into the age range of infected people, disease severity and mortality rates.

“The data also appear to show a decline in new cases,” he told reporters. “This trend must be interpreted very cautiously. Trends can change as new populations are affected.

“It’s too early to tell if this reported decline will continue. Every scenario is still on the table,” he said.

The outbreak, which has infected more than 70,500 people in China and killed over 1,800, has battered manufacturing and tourism across the region and led to multiple travel restrictions including for flights and cruises.

“If we are going to disrupt every cruise ship in the world on the off chance that there might be some potential contact with some potential pathogen then where do we stop?” said Michael Ryan, head of WHO’s health emergencies programme.

Ryan said that even at the epicentre of the crisis in the city of Wuhan in central Hubei Province, the “attack rate” – a measure of the speed of spread of the virus – was four per 100,000.

“This is a very serious outbreak and it has the potential to grow, but we need to balance that in terms of the number of people infected. Outside Hubei this epidemic is affecting a very, very tiny, tiny proportion of people,” he said.

Tedros also referred to an apparent decline in new cases of the disease in recent days but said that the trend “must be interpreted very cautiously”.

“Trends can change as new populations are affected. It is too early to tell if this reported decline will continue. Every scenario is still on the table,” he said.

Tedros said that more than 80 per cent of patients infected with the virus have mild disease and recover, while 14 percent have severe diseases such as pneumonia.

Around five per cent of cases are considered critical with possible multi-organ failure, septic shock and respiratory failure and, in some cases, death,” he added.

Tedros said there were “relatively few cases” among children and more research was needed to understand why.

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